birthday traffic

What were the most common birthdays in 1969–1988, and what changed since?

Published by Birthday Traffic · · Sources and method

In the daily file for 1969–1988, 70,485,508 recorded U.S. births over 20 complete years, the most common birthday was September 16 and the least common, leap day aside, was December 25. September led then as it does now. What changed by 1994–2014 is the shape of the week: a Saturday or Sunday recorded about 84% of a weekday’s births then and about 66% later, and the busiest every-year date was 1.38 times the quietest then and 1.87 times later. The series records counts.

The most common birthdays, 1969–1988

Ranked by total recorded births, the same rule as the 1994–2014 ranking the rest of this site uses; the per-occurrence column divides by the number of years the date occurred, which matters only for February 29. The last column gives the same date’s position in the 1994–2014 ranking.

All 366 dates from most to least common, 1969–1988

Recorded births for every calendar date in 1969–1988, sorted from the busiest to the quietest, with the busiest and quietest dates of this window and the busiest of 1994–2014 named.

All 366 dates from most to least common, 1969–1988Recorded births for every calendar date in 1969–1988, sorted from the busiest to the quietest, with the busiest and quietest dates of this window and the busiest of 1994–2014 named.0100,000200,000300,000Very common: 91 dates, ranks #1–#91Very commonCommon: 92 dates, ranks #92–#183CommonUncommon: 147 dates, ranks #184–#330UncommonRare: 18 dates, ranks #331–#348Very rare: 15 dates, ranks #349–#363Super rare: 3 dates, ranks #364–#366#1 September 16: 212,915September 16 · #1 of 366#7 September 9: 210,536September 9 · #7 of 366#365 December 25: 153,778December 25 · #365 of 366most commonleast common
Very common 91Common 92Uncommon 147Rare 18Very rare 15Super rare 3The six rarity tiers applied to the 1969–1988 ranking by the same rule as the reveal; September 9, the most common date of 1994–2014, is marked where it stood then.
The ten most common birthdays in the U.S., 1969–1988
DateBirths 1969–1988Per occurrenceRank 1969–1988Rank 1994–2014
September 16212,91510,646#1#9
September 23212,81710,641#2#14
September 22212,67310,634#3#22
September 24211,36210,568#4#18
September 17211,26310,563#5#4
September 21210,87610,544#6#32
September 9210,53610,527#7#1
September 19210,46010,523#8#2
September 15210,21410,511#9#8
September 26210,02610,501#10#12

The least common birthdays, 1969–1988

The ten least common birthdays in the U.S., 1969–1988
DateBirths 1969–1988Per occurrenceRank 1969–1988Rank 1994–2014
December 25153,7787,689#365#365
January 1160,3698,018#364#364
December 24165,0508,253#363#363
January 2169,8968,495#362#361
July 4173,4138,671#361#362
December 26175,3418,767#360#360
December 23178,6678,933#359#351
January 3180,0369,002#358#301
November 27180,4629,023#357#359
January 9181,5119,076#356#339

February 29 occurred in 5 of these 20 years (1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988), 46,234 births in all and 9,247 per occurrence; by total it is #366 here as in 1994–2014, so it is set aside from the list above.

The weekend gap, year by year

Each year is measured against itself: Saturday and Sunday births per day as a percentage of Monday-to-Friday births per day in that same year. In 1969 the level was 88%; in 1988, 79%; by 2014, 64%. The years 1989–1993 are outside both files and are left blank.

Weekend births as a percentage of weekday births, 1969–2014

Saturday and Sunday births per day against Monday-to-Friday births per day in the same year, one point per year, with the missing years 1989 to 1993 left blank and the change of compilation marked.

Weekend births as a percentage of weekday births, 1969–2014Saturday and Sunday births per day against Monday-to-Friday births per day in the same year, one point per year, with the missing years 1989 to 1993 left blank and the change of compilation marked.5060708090100FiveThirtyEight files from 19941969197419791984198919941999200420092014weekend level, 1969: 88.1%weekend level, 1970: 87.6%weekend level, 1971: 86.8%weekend level, 1972: 86.4%weekend level, 1973: 86.4%weekend level, 1974: 85.7%weekend level, 1975: 85.5%weekend level, 1976: 85.8%weekend level, 1977: 84.7%weekend level, 1978: 85.2%weekend level, 1979: 85.5%weekend level, 1980: 85.3%weekend level, 1981: 84.1%weekend level, 1982: 83.2%weekend level, 1983: 82.6%weekend level, 1984: 82.2%weekend level, 1985: 81.3%weekend level, 1986: 79.9%weekend level, 1987: 79.1%weekend level, 1988: 79.0%weekend level, 1994: 73.4%weekend level, 1995: 72.7%weekend level, 1996: 72.5%weekend level, 1997: 70.9%weekend level, 1998: 70.1%weekend level, 1999: 68.8%weekend level, 2000: 68.4%weekend level, 2001: 67.1%weekend level, 2002: 65.7%weekend level, 2003: 64.7%weekend level, 2004: 63.6%weekend level, 2005: 62.0%weekend level, 2006: 62.0%weekend level, 2007: 62.0%weekend level, 2008: 61.8%weekend level, 2009: 61.1%weekend level, 2010: 61.1%weekend level, 2011: 61.6%weekend level, 2012: 62.9%weekend level, 2013: 63.6%weekend level, 2014: 64.5%weekend level
Every point is a year against its own weekday level.
Weekend level by year, 1969–1988
YearWeekend births per day, % of weekday
196988.1%
197087.6%
197186.8%
197286.4%
197386.4%
197485.7%
197585.5%
197685.8%
197784.7%
197885.2%
197985.5%
198085.3%
198184.1%
198283.2%
198382.6%
198482.2%
198581.3%
198679.9%
198779.1%
198879.0%

Months, then and now

Births per day by month as an index where 100 is the window’s average day. September led in 1969–1988 at 107.2, and April was the quietest at 96.1. Each line is indexed to its own window, so they show shape.

Births per day by month, index to the window’s average day

Twelve months, each window indexed to its own average day, 1969–1988 and 1994–2014.

Births per day by month, index to the window’s average dayTwelve months, each window indexed to its own average day, 1969–1988 and 1994–2014.9095100105110JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec1969–1988, Jan: 96.31969–1988, Feb: 98.41969–1988, Mar: 98.11969–1988, Apr: 96.11969–1988, May: 96.71969–1988, Jun: 99.51969–1988, Jul: 104.01969–1988, Aug: 105.51969–1988, Sep: 107.21969–1988, Oct: 101.21969–1988, Nov: 98.41969–1988, Dec: 98.71994–2014, Jan: 95.91994–2014, Feb: 98.31994–2014, Mar: 98.21994–2014, Apr: 97.31994–2014, May: 98.61994–2014, Jun: 101.21994–2014, Jul: 103.51994–2014, Aug: 104.81994–2014, Sep: 105.71994–2014, Oct: 100.31994–2014, Nov: 97.81994–2014, Dec: 98.41969–19881994–2014
1969–19881994–2014Both series are indexed, so a month above 100 is above its own window’s average day.
Births per day by month, 1969–1988 against 1994–2014, indexed
Month1969–19881994–2014
January96.395.9
February98.498.3
March98.198.2
April96.197.3
May96.798.6
June99.5101.2
July104.0103.5
August105.5104.8
September107.2105.7
October101.2100.3
November98.497.8
December98.798.4

Fixed-date holidays, then and now

Seven dates that fall on the same calendar day every year, as an index of that window’s average every-year date by share. A fixed date falls on each weekday about equally often across twenty years, The series records the moves.

Fixed-date holidays as an index of the average date, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014

Each holiday’s share of the year against the average every-year date in its own window, 100 being average, drawn from the 1969–1988 value to the 1994–2014 value.

Fixed-date holidays as an index of the average date, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014Each holiday’s share of the year against the average every-year date in its own window, 100 being average, drawn from the 1969–1988 value to the 1994–2014 value.406080100120Christmas Day: 79.8 → 59.21969–1988: 79.81994–2014: 59.2Christmas Day−20.6New Year’s Day: 83.2 → 70.11969–1988: 83.21994–2014: 70.1New Year’s Day−13.0Independence Day: 89.9 → 79.01969–1988: 89.91994–2014: 79.0Independence Day−10.9Christmas Eve: 85.5 → 72.71969–1988: 85.51994–2014: 72.7Christmas Eve−12.9New Year’s Eve: 100.7 → 93.51969–1988: 100.71994–2014: 93.5New Year’s Eve−7.2Halloween: 96.8 → 89.71969–1988: 96.81994–2014: 89.7Halloween−7.1Valentine’s Day: 101.0 → 104.51969–1988: 101.01994–2014: 104.5Valentine’s Day+3.5
1969–19881994–2014, rose1994–2014, fell
Fixed-date holidays, index of the average every-year date, by share
HolidayDate1969–19881994–2014Rank 1969–1988Rank 1994–2014
Christmas DayDecember 2579.859.2#365#365
New Year’s DayJanuary 183.270.1#364#364
Independence DayJuly 489.979.0#361#362
Christmas EveDecember 2485.572.7#363#363
New Year’s EveDecember 31100.793.5#124#348
HalloweenOctober 3196.889.7#297#356
Valentine’s DayFebruary 14101.0104.5#122#62

Dates whose share rose most between the two windows

Each date’s share of its own year’s births, per 100,000, averaged over the twenty years of 1969–1988 and the twenty-one of 1994–2014. Because the two windows come from different compilations of federal records with five missing years between them, a move here is weaker evidence than the same move inside one file.

Ten largest rises in share per 100,000, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014

One line per date from its share of the year in the earlier window to its share in the later one.

Ten largest rises in share per 100,000, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014One line per date from its share of the year in the earlier window to its share in the later one.250260270280290300December 20: 277.3 → 295.51969–1988: 277.31994–2014: 295.5December 20+6.5%December 22: 264.1 → 280.01969–1988: 264.11994–2014: 280.0December 22+6.0%May 23: 268.0 → 283.41969–1988: 268.01994–2014: 283.4May 23+5.8%December 21: 273.3 → 286.91969–1988: 273.31994–2014: 286.9December 21+5.0%May 24: 266.4 → 279.41969–1988: 266.41994–2014: 279.4May 24+4.9%May 16: 264.7 → 277.51969–1988: 264.71994–2014: 277.5May 16+4.8%November 21: 272.7 → 284.71969–1988: 272.71994–2014: 284.7November 21+4.4%January 4: 259.8 → 270.91969–1988: 259.81994–2014: 270.9January 4+4.3%May 2: 262.2 → 273.31969–1988: 262.21994–2014: 273.3May 2+4.3%December 19: 282.0 → 293.71969–1988: 282.01994–2014: 293.7December 19+4.1%
1969–19881994–2014, rose
Largest rises in share of U.S. births per 100,000, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014
Date1969–19881994–2014ChangeRank 1969–1988Rank 1994–2014
December 20277.3295.5+6.5%#115#11
December 22264.1280.0+6.0%#298#107
May 23268.0283.4+5.8%#241#89
December 21273.3286.9+5.0%#155#54
May 24266.4279.4+4.9%#269#109
May 16264.7277.5+4.8%#301#125
November 21272.7284.7+4.4%#163#76
January 4259.8270.9+4.3%#353#207
May 2262.2273.3+4.3%#329#181
December 19282.0293.7+4.1%#99#17

Dates whose share fell most

Ten largest falls in share per 100,000, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014

One line per date from its share of the year in the earlier window to its share in the later one.

Ten largest falls in share per 100,000, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014One line per date from its share of the year in the earlier window to its share in the later one.150200250300December 25: 218.5 → 162.11969–1988: 218.51994–2014: 162.1December 25−25.8%January 1: 227.7 → 192.11969–1988: 227.71994–2014: 192.1January 1−15.6%December 24: 234.2 → 198.91969–1988: 234.21994–2014: 198.9December 24−15.1%July 4: 246.2 → 216.41969–1988: 246.21994–2014: 216.4July 4−12.1%November 23: 263.6 → 243.31969–1988: 263.61994–2014: 243.3November 23−7.7%October 31: 265.1 → 245.71969–1988: 265.11994–2014: 245.7October 31−7.3%December 31: 275.8 → 256.01969–1988: 275.81994–2014: 256.0December 31−7.2%November 25: 263.5 → 245.51969–1988: 263.51994–2014: 245.5November 25−6.8%November 27: 256.7 → 239.21969–1988: 256.71994–2014: 239.2November 27−6.8%November 24: 263.7 → 246.31969–1988: 263.71994–2014: 246.3November 24−6.6%
1969–19881994–2014, fell
Largest falls in share of U.S. births per 100,000, 1969–1988 to 1994–2014
Date1969–19881994–2014ChangeRank 1969–1988Rank 1994–2014
December 25218.5162.1−25.8%#365#365
January 1227.7192.1−15.6%#364#364
December 24234.2198.9−15.1%#363#363
July 4246.2216.4−12.1%#361#362
November 23263.6243.3−7.7%#314#358
October 31265.1245.7−7.3%#297#356
December 31275.8256.0−7.2%#124#348
November 25263.5245.5−6.8%#316#357
November 27256.7239.2−6.8%#357#359
November 24263.7246.3−6.6%#318#355

Did the calendar get less even?

Across the 365 dates that occur every year, the standard deviation of the per-date share was 11.82 per 100,000 in 1969–1988 and 14.15 in 1994–2014; the busiest date stood 1.38 times above the quietest then and 1.87 times later. On both measures the later calendar is less even. The weekend gap above is the largest single factor this series can see. Anything else is outside it.

Check how rare your own birthday is → · Change inside one file, 2000–2014 · Births by weekday

Sources, method and limits

Source for 1969–1988: daily counts of U.S. births compiled from CDC/NCHS natality records by Jake VanderPlas, 7,305 dates and 70,485,508 births. The compilation has separate male and female rows per date; they were combined before any per-occurrence figure was taken, and 457 upstream rows with impossible dates (7,433 births) were rejected. Early counts in that compilation are sums of record weights, as its own query shows. Source for 1994–2014: the CDC/NCHS and Social Security Administration daily files as compiled by FiveThirtyEight (CC BY 4.0), the same window the rest of this site ranks.

Each window stands on its own. Every comparison is a share of the year or an index to the window’s own average day, and the years 1989–1993 are absent from both files. A difference between the windows is a difference between two compilations of administrative records as much as between two decades of births.

Every figure above comes from the administrative records named here, at the granularity those records publish: a day, a month or a year. Coverage and definitions differ between countries and eras, so two sources are combined only where their documentation states the windows are separate, and the page where that happens says so.

Full method, leap-day treatment and definitions.

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